Recession Risk Is Higher Than You Think
Most investors prefer not to think about a recession. Others feel that the Fed has proven now that it can delay it indefinitely using monetary policy, and that if recession will occur, the correction may not be harsh. In this article, analyst Lance Roberts shows not only that a recession is inevitable but also that historically recessions and corrections after long bull markets were extremely harsh.
Feb 18, 2019 | Lance Roberts |
Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact
If you think that a US–China trade deal will bring back the bull stock market run, think again. According to one fund manager, that’s when the sell-off will really start.
Feb 14, 2019 | Mark DeCambre |
US National Debt Tops $22 Trillion and Is Not Slowing Down!
The US debt has risen above $22 trillion for the first time—$22,012,840,891,685.32, to be precise (11 months after topping $21 trillion). Take that in for a second… There will come a day when our country will have to address our staggering debt. It is critical to take action to protect your life savings and not be lulled into a false sense of security. This article will give you an in-depth look at how this problem is not going away.
Feb 13, 2019 | ZeroHedge |
Don’t Get Fooled Twice by the Financial Industry
There’s no risk of a recession. Everybody says so. Fed Chair Jay Powell says so. Mario Draghi says so. The IMF says so. There seems to be a lot of coordinated certainty out there about one thing: No matter how uncertain things may be, we are certain that nothing bad will happen. This sounds very familiar to the statements they passed along to us in 2007. Sven Henrich recounts the statements of the heads of finance back then and highlights all the reasons to be proactive about protecting your wealth and not trust the financial industry to do so. It’s an old adage—Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me!
Feb 08, 2019 | Sven Henrich |
What Will Be the Straw That Breaks the Camel’s Back?
After the Fed cut interest rates to historically low levels to keep the Great Recession from turning into a Great Depression, public companies figured out they could borrow money for less than their stocks’ dividend yield, use the proceeds to buy back their outstanding shares, and generate free cash flow in the process. And—a nice perk—the increased demand pushed their share price up and landed their CEOs even bigger year-end bonuses. Now, the size of corporate debt has never been greater. John Rubino takes a closer look at how these corporations will have to deal with their debts, setting off a death spiral that will end with mass bankruptcies.
Feb 08, 2019 | John Rubino |
The Next Crisis May Be Harder Than 2008: Dalio
Ray Dalio, who manages the largest hedge fund in the world, is sounding the alarm that the Federal Reserve has very limited “bullets in their gun” when the next financial crisis hits. He states, “If the market fell into a recession tomorrow, the Fed would be starting with roughly a 4-trillion-dollar balance sheet with interest rates 2% lower than they were in 2009. In other words, the ability of the Fed to ‘bail out’ the markets today is much more limited than it was in 2008.”
Feb 05, 2019 | Lance Roberts |